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Alito retirement odds slide as Polymarket contract reaches 3.5 cents

PolymarketTrader ranks the Alito retirement contract fourth on its November 5 biggest movers snapshot, with 166,100 dollars traded in 24 hours and 141,100 dollars in liquidity. The snapshot is drawn from the Polymarket Gamma API and was generated at 2:08 PM UTC on November 5.

A Polymarket contract on whether Samuel Alito will announce his retirement by December 31, 2026 fell 16 points to 3.5 cents, according to PolymarketTrader.

Fourth among the snapshot’s biggest movers

PolymarketTrader placed the Alito retirement contract fourth in its November 5 biggest movers snapshot. It recorded 166,100 dollars traded over 24 hours and 141,100 dollars in liquidity.

The snapshot used data from the Polymarket Gamma API and was generated at 2:08 PM UTC on November 5. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

Price move without an identified catalyst

The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the decline or describe any statement from Alito. It documents a change in market pricing, rather than new evidence of his retirement plans.

The contract concerns an announcement by December 31, 2026. That distinction matters: its stated subject is the timing of an announcement, not when a retirement would take effect.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The fall to 3.5 cents indicates sharply lower market pricing for an Alito retirement announcement by the specified deadline; it does not establish what he will do.
  • The 24-hour trading volume and reported liquidity provide context for activity around the contract, but neither explains the decline.
  • The figures reflect the November 5 snapshot generated at 2:08 PM UTC, rather than a continuously updated market view.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
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