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Hegseth impeachment odds jump sharply as Polymarket contract reaches 70.1 percent

The contract on Pete Hegseth being impeached by December 31, 2026 is priced at 70.1 percent on Polymarket. The price is up 28.9 points in 24 hours, among the largest moves on the PredictionBubbles board, with 150,000 dollars traded in total.

A Polymarket contract on whether Pete Hegseth will be impeached by December 31, 2026 is priced at 70.1 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.

The update, published Nov 8, 2026 at 3:15 AM ET, puts the contract’s 24-hour increase at 28.9 points.

A large move with limited context

The rise ranks among the largest moves on the PredictionBubbles board. Total trading in the contract stands at 150,000 dollars; that figure is cumulative, rather than a measure of activity during the past 24 hours.

The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the repricing or provide the contract’s detailed resolution rules. It documents a substantial shift in market pricing, but offers no underlying reporting about impeachment proceedings.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The deadline defines the proposition: The contract concerns impeachment by December 31, 2026, not an open-ended outcome.
  • Price and evidence are distinct: The 70.1 percent level reflects market pricing; the summary does not establish what prompted the change.
  • Volume has limits as context: The 150,000 dollars traded in total does not reveal how much trading accompanied the 28.9-point rise.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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