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Kalshi traders put overwhelming weight on no Fed cuts in 2026

DOXA lists the number of rate cuts in 2026 market among its tracked Kalshi markets in the latest snapshot. Traders price the exactly zero cuts outcome at 97.7 percent.

Kalshi’s contract for exactly zero Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 is priced at 97.7 percent, according to DOXA. The reported trading volume is 11.3 million dollars.

A concentrated outlook for rates

DOXA includes the market tracking the number of rate cuts in 2026 among its monitored Kalshi markets. The snapshot was published on Nov 6, 2026, at 2:15 PM ET.

The pricing places substantial weight on the exactly zero cuts outcome. It reflects traders’ expectations, rather than confirmation of the eventual result for 2026.

The supplied summary does not give prices for alternative cut counts or earlier readings for this contract. It therefore offers a snapshot of positioning, but no basis for measuring how that positioning has changed.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A heavily favored outcome: At 97.7 percent, exactly zero cuts commands a high market-implied probability, though it is not a settled result.
  • Limited trend evidence: The reported 11.3 million dollars in trading volume provides activity context, but the supplied material does not establish the direction or pace of recent repricing.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    DOXA
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