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Paxton insult contract reaches 100 percent as settlement remains pending

The market is awaiting settlement at a full 100 percent after the largest 24 hour move on the PredictionBubbles board. The broader Trump insult board traded 392,000 dollars in 24 hours on Polymarket, with Ken Paxton the leading outcome.

A Polymarket contract on whether Donald Trump would publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026 was priced at 100 percent and awaiting settlement, according to PredictionBubbles.

The update, published Nov 6, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, put the contract’s increase at 92.5 points, with 679,000 dollars traded.

Largest move on the board

PredictionBubbles identified the Paxton contract’s rise as the largest 24 hour move on its board. The full 100 percent price reflected market pricing, while settlement remained outstanding.

The broader Trump insult board on Polymarket recorded 392,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours, with Ken Paxton the leading outcome, according to PredictionBubbles. That board-wide activity is distinct from the 679,000 dollars reported for the individual contract, for which the summary supplied no trading period.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing is not settlement: The contract stood at 100 percent, but the reported status was still awaiting settlement.
  • The deadline had passed: The October 31, 2026 cutoff preceded the Nov 6, 2026 update; the supplied summary did not identify the evidence supporting resolution.
  • Volume figures have different scopes: The 392,000 dollars covers the broader board over 24 hours, while the 679,000 dollars relates to the Paxton contract without a specified period.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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