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Bitcoin downside contract draws 12 percent pricing ahead of November 9

CoinStats lists a Bitcoin market resolving November 9, 2026 with the below 74,000 dollars outcome priced at 12 percent on Polymarket, with 328,000 dollars traded in 24 hours across Polymarket and Kalshi.

According to CoinStats, the outcome for Bitcoin falling below 74,000 dollars was priced at 12 percent on Polymarket. The listed market resolves November 9, 2026.

Pricing and trading activity

The CoinStats update, published Nov 8, 2026 at 6:45 AM ET, places the reported price one calendar day before the market’s resolution date.

CoinStats also listed 328,000 dollars traded over 24 hours across Polymarket and Kalshi. That figure covers both platforms, rather than Polymarket alone.

The supplied summary gives the 12 percent price specifically for Polymarket. It does not provide a corresponding Kalshi price or separate trading totals for either platform.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 12 percent Polymarket price indicates that the below-74,000-dollar outcome was priced as unlikely, not impossible.
  • The November 9, 2026 resolution date makes the remaining time relevant when interpreting the reported price.
  • The 328,000-dollar volume figure cannot establish how much trading occurred on either platform individually.
  • The summary does not include settlement terms, so it does not establish precisely how or when Bitcoin’s price will be assessed.
KalshiPolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    CoinStats
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to CoinStats”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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