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Kalshi Bitcoin threshold odds retreat as trading tops $246,300

PredictMarketCap lists the 76,000 dollars or above intraday Bitcoin line among its trending markets today. The 76,500 dollars or above line is priced at 3 percent, with 163,400 dollars traded.

A Kalshi contract on Bitcoin reaching $76,000 or above on November 6 fell 37 percentage points to 13%, according to PredictMarketCap. Trading volume in the contract totaled $246,300.

Two Bitcoin thresholds in focus

PredictMarketCap listed the $76,000-or-above intraday Bitcoin line among its trending markets today. The update was published on Nov 6, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET.

The $76,500-or-above line was priced at 3%, with $163,400 traded, according to PredictMarketCap. That put its quoted probability 10 percentage points below the $76,000 line.

The supplied figures show a sharp repricing of the $76,000 contract, but do not identify the cause or the period over which the 37-point decline occurred. They also do not include Bitcoin’s underlying price or the contracts’ detailed settlement rules.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 13% and 3% prices indicate substantially different market assessments for thresholds separated by $500.
  • The reported volumes provide a measure of trading activity, but do not establish current liquidity or bid-ask spreads.
  • Without settlement details or an underlying Bitcoin price, the figures alone do not establish how close either contract was to resolving affirmatively.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictMarketCap
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