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Kalshi’s Adria Arjona Bond casting contract slides to 5 cents

The contract was previously quoted at 54 cents, and the 49 cent drop was the largest single move on Kalshi in the exchange snapshot published at 5:00 PM ET on November 5.

A Kalshi contract on Adria Arjona being cast as the Bond girl in the next James Bond film fell to 5 cents from 54 cents, according to BotForKalshi.

The 49-cent decline was the largest single move on Kalshi in the exchange snapshot published at 5:00 PM ET on November 5.

A sharp repricing with limited context

The supplied item carries a publication timestamp of Nov 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET, earlier than the snapshot time it cites. The material does not explain that timing discrepancy.

BotForKalshi’s summary provides no reason for the price change or confirmation of a casting decision. The reported move therefore establishes a change in the contract’s price, not the outcome of the casting process.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The shift from 54 cents to 5 cents marks a substantial repricing of the Arjona casting contract.
  • Its ranking as the largest single move applies to the cited exchange snapshot, not necessarily to the full trading day.
  • Without a stated catalyst or casting confirmation, the price decline alone does not establish why traders reassessed the outcome.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    BotForKalshi
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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