Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Polymarket puts US strike against Cuba at 11.5 percent by year-end

The contract on a US strike on Cuba by December 31 is priced at 11.5 percent on Polymarket. The market has traded 7.7 million dollars in total and closes on January 1, 2027.

Price and trading activity

The Polymarket contract covering a US strike on Cuba by December 31 is priced at 11.5 percent, according to World Monitor.

Total trading volume in the market stands at 7.7 million dollars. That figure measures trading activity, rather than the likelihood of the event.

Deadline and close

The update was published on Nov 8, 2026, at 3:30 AM ET. The reported price is a snapshot at that time, not a final outcome.

The contract’s event deadline is December 31, while the market closes on January 1, 2027. The supplied summary does not include the detailed criteria for determining whether a strike qualifies.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 11.5 percent price places a qualifying US strike on Cuba below an even chance in this market; it does not establish that a strike will occur.
  • The 7.7 million dollars in total volume provides a measure of participation, but the summary offers no price history or liquidity details.
  • The distinction between the December 31 event deadline and the January 1, 2027 market close matters when interpreting the contract’s timing.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    World Monitor
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to World Monitor”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related