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Commodities & crypto stats

This edition's stats rotate to PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi 15-minute board, read Nov. 4 at 9:25 PM ET for the window closing 9:30 PM ET, plus a fresh Finnhub Bitcoin…

The Kalshi contract tied to CPI inflation above 4.0% for the year ending December 2026 fell 17 cents to 34 cents, according to the supplied PredictionMarketPicks item.

The move concerns a specific inflation threshold and measurement period: whether annual CPI inflation exceeds 4.0% in December 2026. It is not a forecast of the exact inflation rate.

Snapshot offers limited context

PredictionMarketPicks’ leaderboard snapshot was taken at 8:48 PM EST on Nov. 4, 2026, and covered 338 priced contracts across 19 series. The supplied item was published on Nov. 4, 2026, at 9:24 PM ET.

The available summary is incomplete, and no source links were provided. It does not establish the interval over which the 17-cent decline occurred or identify a catalyst, limiting what can be concluded about the repricing.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The lower contract price points to reduced market-implied likelihood of CPI inflation exceeding 4.0% for the year ending December 2026, not necessarily a comparable shift in expectations for the precise inflation rate.
  • The 34-cent price belongs to a dated leaderboard snapshot; the supplied material does not establish a subsequent price.
  • Without the decline’s measurement interval or supporting market detail, the move alone cannot establish why traders revised their expectations.
PredictionMarketsKalshiBitcoinEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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