Cincinnati win the 2027 Pro Football Championship priced at 6.0% on Kalshi, on $10.5M traded
PredictionBubbles' sports board, fresh on its Oct. 28, 19:10 UTC read, lists the Cincinnati championship contract among its most-traded sports markets, in a sports…
Cincinnati’s contract to win the 2027 Pro Football Championship was priced at a 6.0% market-implied probability on Kalshi, with $10.5M traded, according to PredictionBubbles. Its Oct. 28, 19:10 UTC snapshot placed the contract among the sports board’s most-traded markets.
Volume puts Cincinnati in focus
The turnover figure measures cumulative trading activity, not a recent shift in Cincinnati’s championship prospects. PredictionBubbles ranks its busiest markets by total traded volume and maintains a separate ranking for absolute probability changes over the previous 24 hours.
The supplied material does not give Cincinnati’s 24-hour probability change or its exact volume rank. The 6.0% reading therefore establishes a price snapshot, but not whether traders had become more or less optimistic about the outcome.
A cross-exchange snapshot
According to PredictionBubbles, the sports page covered 553 open markets: 199 from Kalshi and 354 from Polymarket. Its embedded visualization displayed the 300 largest by volume, while the full board covered all 553.
The largest sports market by traded volume at the latest refresh concerned Shakhtar Donetsk winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship, with $36.8M traded on Polymarket. That provides context for Cincinnati’s $10.5M figure, though the contracts address different competitions and trade on different venues.
PredictionBubbles refreshes its data every 15 minutes, while exchange prices can change whenever trading occurs. The site aggregates published prices rather than accepting wagers, holding funds or providing accounts.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price and activity are different signals. Cincinnati’s 6.0% price represents the market-implied chance of winning; $10.5M records trading volume, not the strength of a recent bullish move.
- The timestamp matters. The Oct. 28, 19:10 UTC reading is a snapshot rather than a continuously updated quote.
- Cross-venue comparisons require care. PredictionBubbles notes that related Kalshi and Polymarket contracts can differ in wording and resolution rules.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
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