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Bears top Kalshi’s 2027 NFL championship probabilities at 14 percent

The Chicago Bears lead the 2027 NFL Champion market at 14 percent on Kalshi. The market has traded 226.4 million dollars in total volume, making it the most liquid sports market tracked by DOXA.

The Chicago Bears hold the highest probability in Kalshi’s 2027 NFL Champion market at 14 percent, according to DOXA.

The update, published Nov 8, 2026 · 2:15 AM ET, puts Chicago ahead of the other contenders. The supplied summary does not identify those teams or their probabilities.

Trading volume sets the market apart

Total trading volume in the market stands at 226.4 million dollars, according to DOXA. That figure covers the championship market, rather than just the Bears outcome.

DOXA identifies it as the most liquid sports market it tracks. That distinction is limited to DOXA’s coverage; the summary does not establish a ranking across all sports prediction markets.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A leader, not a majority favorite: Chicago’s 14 percent probability leads the field but remains well below 50 percent.
  • Volume is market-wide: The 226.4 million dollars figure does not show how much trading is concentrated on the Bears.
  • The snapshot has limits: Without rival probabilities or earlier readings, the summary cannot establish Chicago’s margin over the next team or whether its probability is rising or falling.
KalshiNFLInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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  1. Source
    DOXA
    Publisher
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