Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Seamus Power wins priced at 28.0% on Kalshi, up 17.0 points, on $716K traded

Seamus Power’s contract to win the Butterfield Bermuda Championship was priced at 28.0% on Kalshi, up 17.0 percentage points, with $716K traded, in the supplied market headline published Oct 25, 2026 · 3:39 AM ET. The figures describe a shift in market pricing, not a confirmed tournament result.

A substantial repricing, with limited context

According to predictionbubbles.net, its movers board measures changes in implied probability over 24 hours using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 25 Oct 2026, 07:05 UTC and says the board refreshes every 15 minutes.

The distinction between percentage points and percentage growth matters here: Power’s reported increase is 17.0 points, not a 17.0% relative gain. PredictionBubbles ranks moves by their absolute size in probability points; trading volume does not affect that ranking.

The supplied source excerpt does not contain Power’s individual market entry, so it does not independently corroborate the headline’s price, move or volume. It also provides no tournament developments explaining the repricing and does not establish the measurement period for the headline’s $716K trading figure.

What it means for prediction markets

• The reported move signals stronger market confidence, not a result. A 28.0% price still places Power’s implied chance below half.
• Volume and liquidity are different measures. The $716K traded figure provides activity context but does not establish how much trading the market could absorb without moving.
• The catalyst remains unverified. The supplied material supports describing a reported repricing, but not attributing it to a particular performance update or news event.