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Pittsburgh favored over Cleveland as Kalshi sets out Sunday game probabilities

Kalshi prices the Steelers at 64 percent and the Browns at 36 percent for the 1:00 p.m. Eastern game on November 1. Its spread market centers on Pittsburgh winning by more than 3.5 points and its total market on 39.5 points.

Kalshi prices the Steelers at 64 percent and the Browns at 36 percent for their November 1 game, according to Kalshi. The Browns play at Pittsburgh, with kickoff scheduled for 1:00 p.m. Eastern.

The market snapshot was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 10:45 AM ET, ahead of the Sunday afternoon matchup.

Win probability and scoring thresholds

Pittsburgh’s implied win probability stands 28 percentage points above Cleveland’s. Those prices favor the Steelers but leave a substantial probability of a Browns victory.

According to Kalshi, the spread market centers on Pittsburgh winning by more than 3.5 points, while the total market centers on 39.5 points. These provide separate benchmarks for the winning margin and combined scoring, rather than simply which team wins.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 64 percent–36 percent split is a pregame probability snapshot, not a guarantee of the result.
  • A Pittsburgh victory and a Pittsburgh win by more than 3.5 points are distinct outcomes; the outright-win price does not establish the probability of clearing the spread.
  • The supplied summary identifies the 39.5-point total threshold but gives no probabilities for outcomes above or below it.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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