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Kalshi’s year-end Bitcoin threshold edges higher in low-priced trading

PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi leaderboard, on its Nov. 1, 12:42 PM EST snapshot across 294 priced contracts in 21 series, ranks the $119,999.99 Bitcoin year-end contract…

The Kalshi contract on Bitcoin exceeding $119,999.99 by December 31, 2026 was priced at 4c, a 1c increase, according to the supplied PredictionMarketPicks update. Trading totaled 1,400 contracts over 24 hours.

A snapshot of year-end positioning

PredictionMarketPicks included the Bitcoin contract in its Kalshi leaderboard snapshot dated Nov. 1 at 12:42 PM EST. The snapshot covered 294 priced contracts across 21 series.

The higher price points to a modest shift toward the contract’s affirmative outcome, though its price remained low. The supplied summary does not give the Bitcoin contract’s exact leaderboard position or comparative prices for other Bitcoin thresholds.

The update was published Nov 1, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET. Its figures describe the reported snapshot rather than a continuously updated market, and the supplied material does not include the contract’s detailed settlement rules.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price and activity are separate signals: The 1c increase records a change in pricing; the 1,400-contract volume measures turnover, not the number of traders or their conviction.
  • The threshold matters: This contract concerns Bitcoin above $119,999.99 by December 31, 2026—not simply whether Bitcoin rises.
  • Context is limited: Without settlement terms or comparable contract prices, the snapshot supports only a narrow reading of this market’s positioning.
PredictionMarketsKalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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