Bitcoin’s November $87,500 contract gains ground but remains below 30%
PredictionBubbles' movers board, on the same live Nov. 2 read, lists the November $87,500 reach contract among its upward crypto moves at 27.5%, up 4.5 points over 24…
The probability priced into Polymarket’s contract on Bitcoin reaching $87,500 in November rose to 27.5%, according to PredictionBubbles’ movers board.
The contract gained 4.5 percentage points over 24 hours and appeared among the board’s upward-moving crypto markets in its live Nov. 2 reading.
A higher price on limited reported trading
The supplied update, published Nov 2, 2026 at 2:54 AM ET, reported $5K traded. It did not specify the period covered by that trading figure.
The move lifted the contract’s implied probability but left it below 30%. The available summary offers no explanation for the increase or details about the contract’s resolution criteria.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction versus level: The 4.5-point rise represents an upward repricing, while the 27.5% level still places the outcome below even odds.
- Limits of the snapshot: The reported $5K traded does not establish liquidity or market depth. Without resolution details, the summary alone cannot establish precisely how a qualifying $87,500 price would be verified.
Sources & attribution
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