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Polymarket bets on Bitcoin dipping to $75,000 this October slide to 2.8 percent

PredictionBubbles, reading Polymarket prices on October 31, prices a Bitcoin dip to 75,000 dollars in October at 2.8 percent, down 19.1 points in 24 hours. The market has traded 1.3 million dollars over its life, with 262,000 dollars in the last day, and resolves on November 1, 2026.

The Polymarket price for a Bitcoin dip to 75,000 dollars in October fell to 2.8 percent on October 31, according to PredictionBubbles. That marked a decline of 19.1 percentage points over 24 hours.

Pricing shifts before resolution

The update, published Oct 31, 2026 at 6:45 AM ET, puts the contract’s implied probability sharply lower as October draws to a close. The market resolves on November 1, 2026.

According to PredictionBubbles, the contract has recorded 1.3 million dollars in trading over its lifetime. Of that total, 262,000 dollars changed hands in the last day.

The supplied report does not identify a catalyst for the repricing or provide Bitcoin’s spot price. It also does not include the contract’s detailed resolution criteria, limiting what can be inferred beyond the reported price and trading activity.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A pronounced probability change: The 19.1-point decline left the reported implied probability at 2.8 percent; that is market pricing, not a confirmed outcome.
  • Recent trading activity: The last day contributed 262,000 dollars to lifetime volume of 1.3 million dollars. Those figures alone do not establish available liquidity.
  • Resolution is near: The November 1, 2026 resolution date is distinct from the October period covered by the contract. The supplied summary does not specify how the qualifying Bitcoin price is determined.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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