Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Odds of Bitcoin falling to $70,000 by year-end rise to 48.5% on Polymarket

PredictionBubbles, reading Polymarket prices on October 31, prices a Bitcoin dip to 70,000 dollars by December 31, 2026 at 48.5 percent, up 4.0 points in 24 hours. The market has traded 1.4 million dollars over its life and resolves on January 1, 2027.

Bitcoin threshold odds move higher

The Polymarket probability of Bitcoin dipping to 70,000 dollars by December 31, 2026 reached 48.5 percent on October 31, according to PredictionBubbles.

That reading was up 4.0 percentage points over 24 hours. The increase brought the market closer to an even split, though the implied probability remained below 50 percent.

Trading volume and resolution

According to PredictionBubbles, the market has recorded 1.4 million dollars in trading over its lifetime. That figure represents cumulative activity, not trading during the 24-hour price move.

The reporting was published on Oct 31, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET. The event deadline is December 31, 2026, while the market resolves on January 1, 2027.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 4.0-point rise signals a shift toward a higher implied likelihood of the specified Bitcoin dip, rather than certainty that it will occur.
  • At 48.5 percent, the market remains closely divided on whether Bitcoin will reach the 70,000-dollar threshold by the deadline.
  • The 1.4 million dollars in lifetime volume provides a measure of cumulative participation, but does not establish how much trading drove the latest move.
  • Readers should distinguish the December 31, 2026 event deadline from the January 1, 2027 resolution date.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PredictionBubbles”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related