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Bitcoin dominates Kalshi’s short-window trading as gold draws substantial volume

PredictionMarketPicks' live board, read November 4 at 5:56 a.m. ET, shows Kalshi lists 30 fifteen-minute series with 20 trading, and Bitcoin made up 72 percent of contracts traded across them over the last day of windows. Gold traded 47.2 million contracts over the last 96 windows, Bitcoin 345.6 million, and WTI crude oil 8.6 million.

Bitcoin represented 72 percent of contracts traded across Kalshi’s fifteen-minute series over the last day of windows, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The figures show trading activity concentrated in Bitcoin within that segment.

Activity across the listed series

PredictionMarketPicks’ live board, read November 4 at 5:56 a.m. ET, showed 30 fifteen-minute series listed on Kalshi, with 20 trading. The snapshot therefore distinguishes the full roster of listed series from those recording trading activity.

Across the last 96 windows, Bitcoin recorded 345.6 million contracts, according to PredictionMarketPicks. Gold registered 47.2 million contracts over the same window count, while WTI crude oil recorded 8.6 million.

The figures were published on Nov 4, 2026, at 6:00 AM ET. They describe contract volumes and participation at the stated observation point, rather than market prices or implied probabilities.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Bitcoin’s 72 percent share makes it the dominant source of contract activity across the fifteen-minute series in the reported period.
  • Gold’s 47.2 million contracts exceeded WTI crude oil’s 8.6 million over the last 96 windows, showing different levels of activity among the reported commodity markets.
  • The distinction between 30 listed series and 20 trading matters when assessing participation. Contract totals alone do not establish liquidity, execution quality or directional expectations.
KalshiBitcoinGoldOilInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    PredictionMarketPicks
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