Ossoff reaches 99 percent on Kalshi as Georgia projection emerges
Kalshi News reports Kalshi projects Jon Ossoff will win the 2026 Georgia Senate race over Mike Collins, with traders pricing Ossoff at 99 percent, up from 98 percent when polls closed. Ossoff opened the year at 76 percent in the market, and the projection does not imply market resolution or a formal race call.
Kalshi projects Jon Ossoff will defeat Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, according to Kalshi News. Traders priced Ossoff at 99 percent in the report published Nov 4, 2026, at 6:30 AM ET.
Pricing strengthens from the close of polls
Ossoff’s market probability rose from 98 percent when polls closed to 99 percent, according to Kalshi News. That represents a one-percentage-point increase from an already elevated level.
Ossoff began the year at 76 percent in the market. The latest pricing puts him 23 percentage points above that starting level.
Projection is not resolution
The projection does not constitute a formal race call or imply that the market has resolved. For readers tracking the outcome, the distinction separates Kalshi’s projection and traders’ pricing from the contract’s resolution status.
What it means for prediction markets
- High confidence, not certainty: The 99 percent price reflects traders’ assessment of an Ossoff victory over Collins, rather than a settled outcome.
- A modest late move: Pricing increased by one percentage point after polls closed, compared with a 23-percentage-point rise from the beginning of the year.
- Resolution remains distinct: Kalshi’s projection should not be treated as confirmation of market resolution or a formal race call.
Sources & attribution
- Published
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- Kalshi Newsnews.kalshi.com
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- https://news.kalshi.com
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