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Austin tops Kalshi weather trading as daily temperature contracts lead

Austin leads Kalshi weather markets resolving on November 8 with 708,000 dollars traded in 24 hours. CoinStats counts 263 open weather events on Polymarket and 299 on Kalshi, with daily city temperature markets leading the category.

Austin led trading among Kalshi weather markets resolving on November 8, with 708,000 dollars changing hands over 24 hours, according to CoinStats.

Weather activity across two platforms

CoinStats counted 263 open weather events on Polymarket and 299 on Kalshi. Those figures describe the number of open events, rather than their trading volume.

Daily city temperature markets led the weather category, according to CoinStats. Austin’s trading total highlights activity in that segment, though the supplied figures do not include volumes for other cities.

Volume and event counts measure different things

The report, published on Nov 8, 2026 at 3:45 AM ET, places Austin’s lead within Kalshi’s weather markets resolving on November 8. It does not establish an Austin lead across both platforms or across other resolution dates.

Kalshi’s larger open-event count and Austin’s 24-hour turnover offer separate measures of market activity. Neither figure, on its own, indicates which temperature outcome traders consider most likely.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Resolution date matters: Austin’s reported lead applies to Kalshi weather markets resolving on November 8.
  • Activity is not probability: The 708,000 dollars traded measures turnover, not the market-implied likelihood of a particular weather outcome.
  • Platform comparisons are limited: The 263 open events on Polymarket and 299 on Kalshi establish event counts, but do not establish relative trading volume.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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  1. Source
    CoinStats
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