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Traders raise odds of Anthropic hitting $2 trillion valuation to 70.5%

Polymarket traders raised the chance that Anthropic's valuation hits 2.0 trillion dollars by December 31 to 70.5 percent, up 12 points in 24 hours, with 7,000 dollars traded in the last day. The market has 917,000 dollars in lifetime volume and resolves on January 5, 2027.

Polymarket’s implied probability that Anthropic’s valuation reaches $2.0 trillion by December 31 rose to 70.5%, according to PredictionBubbles. The move represents a 12-percentage-point increase over 24 hours.

Probability rises ahead of year-end deadline

The figures, reported on Oct 31, 2026, at 10:45 AM ET, show traders shifting toward the valuation threshold being reached. The contract’s price reflects market expectations, not confirmation of Anthropic’s valuation.

Trading volume totaled $7,000 over the last day, according to PredictionBubbles. Lifetime volume stood at $917,000; that cumulative figure should be distinguished from activity during the latest price move.

Deadline and resolution are separate

The valuation target must be reached by December 31, while the market is scheduled to resolve on January 5, 2027. Those dates separate the event deadline from the contract’s resolution.

The supplied report does not identify a catalyst for the probability increase or specify what valuation evidence would qualify for settlement. It therefore supports a reading of stronger trader expectations, but not an explanation of why they changed.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Expectations strengthened: The 12-point daily increase brought the implied probability to 70.5%, favoring the threshold being reached.
  • Volume needs context: The move accompanied $7,000 in daily turnover, rather than the full $917,000 traded over the market’s lifetime.
  • Settlement details remain important: December 31 is the target deadline and January 5, 2027, is the scheduled resolution date, but qualifying valuation criteria were not provided.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
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    https://predictionbubbles.com
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