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Polymarket odds for Anthropic hitting 2.5 trillion dollars drop to 28 percent

Polymarket traders lowered the chance that Anthropic's valuation reaches 2.5 trillion dollars by December 31, 2026 to 28 percent, down 8.5 points in 24 hours. The market has 529,000 dollars in lifetime volume, with 12,000 dollars traded in the last day, and resolves on January 5, 2027.

Anthropic valuation odds retreat

Polymarket’s implied probability that Anthropic’s valuation reaches 2.5 trillion dollars by December 31, 2026 fell to 28 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.

The probability declined 8.5 percentage points over 24 hours. PredictionBubbles reported the figures on Oct 31, 2026, at 8:45 AM ET.

Trading volume and timing

The contract has recorded 529,000 dollars in lifetime trading volume, with 12,000 dollars traded during the last day, according to PredictionBubbles. Those figures distinguish the market’s cumulative activity from trading during the period of the odds decline.

The valuation deadline is December 31, 2026, while the market resolves on January 5, 2027. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide further details about the resolution criteria.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 28 percent reading reflects a lower market-implied likelihood of Anthropic reaching the specified valuation threshold, rather than a direct measure of its current valuation.
  • The 8.5-percentage-point decline marks a shift in pricing over 24 hours; the available information does not establish what drove it.
  • The valuation deadline and resolution date are distinct: the contract concerns December 31, 2026, and resolves on January 5, 2027.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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