Alexander Zverev wins priced at 90.0% on Kalshi, up 11.0 points, on $920K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board, on the same Oct. 29, 18:41 UTC crawl, lists the Zverev contract among its new markets on the move and its upward sports moves, in a…
Alexander Zverev’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at 90.0%, up 11.0 probability points, with $920K traded, according to the supplied PredictionBubbles update published Oct 29, 2026 · 2:54 PM ET.
An upward move with limited event detail
The summary places the contract in both PredictionBubbles’ newly opened moving markets and its upward sports movers during the Oct. 29, 18:41 UTC crawl. The supplied movers-page text carries a separate refresh timestamp of 29 Oct 2026, 18:43 UTC.
The material does not identify Zverev’s opponent, the competition or the contract’s settlement conditions. It also provides no event-specific reporting explaining the price change, limiting what can be concluded about its cause.
How the board measures movement
According to PredictionBubbles, the board compares prices over 24 hours and updates every 15 minutes using data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Rankings reflect changes in probability points rather than relative percentage gains; trading volume does not affect a market’s position.
The site describes its new-market grouping as contracts opened within the last week that have moved at least one probability point. Ranked contracts must remain open and have a valid 24-hour comparison, so markets without a day-old baseline are excluded.
For the Zverev contract, the 90.0% price, 11.0-point increase and $920K traded describe different aspects of the market: its current implied probability, the size of its repricing and its trading activity. Those figures alone do not establish why traders shifted their assessment.
What it means for prediction markets
- The move is measured in points: The reported increase is 11.0 probability points, not an 11.0% relative gain.
- Volume is context, not proof: The $920K traded adds an activity measure but does not establish order-book depth or explain the repricing.
- Contract details remain important: Without the underlying event and settlement terms, the 90.0% price should not be read as a broader forecast of Zverev’s performance or a confirmed result.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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