Hourly Briefing ·
2 stories in this edition: Jacksonville St. wins priced at 99.0% on Kalshi, up 40.0 points, on $964K traded · Pandemic in 2026 priced at 5.0% on Kalshi, up 2.0 points, on $1.0M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board, on its Oct. 29, 02:46 UTC crawl with data read at Oct. 29, 02:46 UTC at 1,974 markets ranked with 520 moving at least 1 point in 24…
No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used today or on the banned list (the NBA preferred-partner deal…
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Jacksonville St. was priced at 99.0% to win on Kalshi, a rise of 40.0 probability points, with $964K traded, according to the supplied headline accompanying PredictionBubbles’ movers-board summary. The figures describe a sharp repricing, not confirmation of a result.
The summary identifies a crawl and data read at Oct. 29, 02:46 UTC, covering 1,974 ranked markets, with 520 moving at least 1 point in 24 hours. The headline was published Oct 28, 2026 · 11:39 PM ET.
The supplied PredictionBubbles page reflects a different snapshot: venue data read on 29 Oct 2026, 03:46 UTC, with 1,989 markets ranked and 513 meeting the movement threshold. Its table displays the top 150 movers. Those counts should not be combined with the earlier summary as though they represent one observation.
The page excerpt does not include the Jacksonville St. market’s individual listing, opponent, settlement terms or a catalyst for the move. It therefore provides methodology and broader market context, but does not independently substantiate the headline’s contract-level figures.
According to PredictionBubbles, its rankings use the absolute change in implied probability over 24 hours, rather than relative percentage changes. Prices come from Polymarket and Kalshi, and the board updates every 15 minutes. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine rank.
The board covers markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes short-lived same-week fixtures. It also leaves out resolved markets and contracts without a valid 24-hour comparison. These filters matter when interpreting a sports-related move: the supplied material does not establish precisely what the Jacksonville St. contract asks or when it settles.
Kalshi’s market on a pandemic in 2026 was priced at 5.0%, up 2.0 percentage points, with $1.0M traded, according to the supplied market snapshot published Oct 28, 2026, at 11:39 PM ET. The price indicates a low market-implied probability despite the increase.
According to PredictionBubbles, the probability changes on its board measure movement over the previous 24 hours. Traded volume represents cumulative activity where the venue supplies that figure—not necessarily money traded during the period of the price change.
The supplied news summary identified no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. It therefore provides no fresh reported catalyst for the pandemic contract’s move. The accompanying PredictionBubbles page describes its tracking methodology but does not include a pandemic-specific news report or the contract’s resolution criteria.
PredictionBubbles says it republishes data from Kalshi and Polymarket every 15 minutes, while trading on the venues continues between updates. The reported 5.0% should consequently be read as a snapshot rather than a continuously verified price.
The tracker’s miscellaneous-market page covers 22 open markets: 20 from Kalshi and 2 from Polymarket. According to PredictionBubbles, its highest-volume market in that group at the latest refresh was whether tech layoffs in 2026 would exceed those in 2025, with $31.5M traded on Kalshi.