Hourly Briefing ·
2 stories in this edition: Prediction markets trade $5.0B in the last 24 hours across 9 exchanges, DeFi Rate reports · Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31 priced at 12.5% on Polymarket, up 3.5 points, on $183K traded
No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used today, taken by website-only batches, or on the banned list…
PredictionBubbles' movers board, fresh on its Oct. 26, 22:06 UTC snapshot, lists the Powell departure contract among the day's upward moves, in a finance category…
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Prediction markets recorded $5.0B in trading volume across 9 exchanges over the last 24 hours, according to DeFi Rate. The reported total provides an aggregate measure of activity rather than a breakdown of individual platforms or contracts.
The update was published on Oct 26, 2026 at 6:39 PM ET. The supplied material does not identify the 9 exchanges or specify how much each contributed to the $5.0B total.
DeFi Rate’s underlying page text was unavailable. Without that detail or a comparison period, the figure alone does not establish whether trading activity accelerated or slowed.
The accompanying news-search summary identified no significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes. It described the results as recirculated items already used today, taken by website-only batches, or on a banned list; that screening result does not independently establish an absence of market developments.
Jerome Powell’s departure from the Fed Board by December 31 was priced at 12.5% on Polymarket, an increase of 3.5 probability points over 24 hours, with $183K traded, according to the supplied market summary.
According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the finance category’s upward movers in its Oct. 26, 2026, 22:06 UTC snapshot. The higher price still leaves departure as the less likely outcome in the market’s assessment.
PredictionBubbles compiles prices from Polymarket and Kalshi every 15 minutes. Its movers board orders contracts by the magnitude of their 24-hour probability-point changes, rather than their relative percentage gains or trading volume.
The snapshot covered 1,986 markets lasting longer than 14 days. Eligibility also requires an open contract and a valid price comparison from 24 hours earlier; resolved contracts and those without a sufficient history are excluded, according to PredictionBubbles.
The supplied material identifies no announcement or other catalyst for the Powell repricing. It also does not provide the contract’s detailed resolution conditions or order-book depth. The $183K trading figure therefore supplies context, but cannot by itself establish how much liquidity supported the move.
The distinction in the contract’s subject matters: the stated question concerns Powell leaving the Fed Board, not simply a change in his chairmanship. Without the settlement rules, readers should avoid treating those as interchangeable outcomes.