Hourly Briefing ·
2 stories in this edition: Baltimore wins priced at 40.0% on Kalshi, down 9.0 points, on $767K traded · Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026 priced at 11.5% on Polymarket, up 1.0 points, on $157K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Baltimore win contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero hits…
No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used today, taken by website-only batches, or on the banned list…
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: original Infiniti Intelligence reports summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them.
Kalshi’s Baltimore win contract was priced at 40.0%, down 9.0 probability points, with $767K traded, in the update published Oct 25, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board, rather than as the board’s lead item.
The supplied material does not identify Baltimore’s opponent, the specific event or the contract’s settlement terms. It also provides no explanation for the decline, limiting what can be concluded about the sporting outlook behind the price change.
According to PredictionBubbles, its rankings compare prices over 24 hours and refresh every 15 minutes using data from Polymarket and Kalshi. The supplied snapshot records venue data retrieved on 25 Oct 2026, 17:12 UTC.
The board ranks changes by their absolute size in probability points, not by relative percentage changes. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not affect a contract’s position in that ranking.
PredictionBubbles says the board covers 1,981 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Its broader movers table displays the top 150 of 508 markets that changed by at least one probability point, with only open contracts possessing a valid 24-hour comparison eligible for ranking.
A Polymarket contract on whether Solana will reach $160 by December 31, 2026 was priced at an implied probability of 11.5%, up 1.0 percentage points, with $157K traded. The supplied snapshot is dated Oct 25, 2026, at 1:24 PM ET.
The accompanying news summary identified no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. It therefore provides no fresh reported catalyst to explain the increase in the contract’s probability.
According to predictionbubbles.net, its crypto board reports probability changes over the last 24 hours and refreshes data every 15 minutes. The Solana reading represents the market’s assessment of a specified price target and deadline—not Solana’s spot price.
The tracker defines traded volume as total trading activity where the venue publishes it. The $157K figure should therefore be distinguished from money traded during the latest price move; the supplied material does not give that shorter-period breakdown.
According to predictionbubbles.net, the board covers 254 open crypto markets: 64 on Kalshi and 190 on Polymarket. It separates rankings by probability movement from rankings by total traded volume, measures that describe different aspects of market activity.
The supplied material does not include the Solana contract’s full resolution rules. Predictionbubbles.net also cautions that related questions across venues can differ in wording, deadlines and settlement criteria, limiting direct comparisons based on headline probabilities alone.