Hourly Briefing ·
2 stories in this edition: Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026 priced at 75.5% on Polymarket, up 6.5 points, on $1.5M traded · Chelsea win the English Premier League priced at 3.0% on Kalshi, down 5.0 points, on $828K traded
No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used, web-taken or banned (the $2.7B weekly crypto volume record…
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Chelsea title contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero hits…
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Polymarket traders priced a 75.5% probability that Ethereum would dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026, with the contract up 6.5 probability points over 24 hours and $1.5M traded, according to the supplied market update published Oct 25, 2026 at 2:24 AM ET.
The shift puts greater weight on Ethereum reaching the downside threshold before the deadline. It concerns whether the asset dips to that level by December 31, 2026—not simply where it finishes the year.
According to predictionbubbles.net, the Ethereum contract appeared among the biggest movers on its market-monitoring page. The supplied snapshot drew venue prices on 25 Oct 2026, 06:04 UTC; the service refreshes its data every 15 minutes.
The accompanying news-search summary identified no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. The supplied material therefore does not establish a fresh news catalyst for the move, or explain which developments traders were responding to.
Predictionbubbles.net ranks contracts by the absolute size of their 24-hour probability-point change, rather than their relative percentage gain. Its comparison covers Polymarket and Kalshi and requires an open market with a valid day-earlier price.
The $1.5M traded figure provides activity context, but the supplied headline does not specify its measurement period. It should not be read automatically as 24-hour turnover or as evidence of how much liquidity is available at current prices.
Chelsea’s chances of winning the English Premier League were priced at 3.0% on Kalshi, down 5.0 percentage points, with $828K traded, in the supplied market update published Oct 25, 2026 · 2:24 AM ET.
According to PredictionBubbles, the Chelsea title contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board, rather than as the board’s lead item. The material provided does not identify a football result, team announcement or other catalyst for the decline.
PredictionBubbles ranks changes over a 24-hour window using probability points, not relative percentage changes. Chelsea’s reported decline therefore describes a shift in the market’s implied title probability—not a 5.0% relative reduction.
The board refreshes every 15 minutes, drawing prices directly from Polymarket and Kalshi. The supplied page records its venue snapshot as 25 Oct 2026, 06:04 UTC, earlier than the publication time of the Chelsea update.
According to PredictionBubbles, the ranking covers 2,026 markets with lifetimes longer than 14 days. It excludes markets without a valid day-old comparison and leaves out same-week fixtures to prevent settlement-driven swings from dominating the results.
The $828K traded figure provides context for Chelsea’s repricing, but the supplied update does not specify its measurement period or provide order-book depth. PredictionBubbles treats trading volume separately from price movement: volume and liquidity do not determine a contract’s position in the movers ranking.