Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026 priced at 75.5% on Polymarket, up 6.5 points, on $1.5M traded

Polymarket traders priced a 75.5% probability that Ethereum would dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026, with the contract up 6.5 probability points over 24 hours and $1.5M traded, according to the supplied market update published Oct 25, 2026 at 2:24 AM ET.

The shift puts greater weight on Ethereum reaching the downside threshold before the deadline. It concerns whether the asset dips to that level by December 31, 2026—not simply where it finishes the year.

A repricing without an identified catalyst

According to predictionbubbles.net, the Ethereum contract appeared among the biggest movers on its market-monitoring page. The supplied snapshot drew venue prices on 25 Oct 2026, 06:04 UTC; the service refreshes its data every 15 minutes.

The accompanying news-search summary identified no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. The supplied material therefore does not establish a fresh news catalyst for the move, or explain which developments traders were responding to.

Reading the move and the volume

Predictionbubbles.net ranks contracts by the absolute size of their 24-hour probability-point change, rather than their relative percentage gain. Its comparison covers Polymarket and Kalshi and requires an open market with a valid day-earlier price.

The $1.5M traded figure provides activity context, but the supplied headline does not specify its measurement period. It should not be read automatically as 24-hour turnover or as evidence of how much liquidity is available at current prices.

What it means for prediction markets

• The change is 6.5 probability points: it measures a shift in the contract’s implied probability, not a 6.5% move in Ethereum’s price.
• The threshold and deadline define the question: the contract concerns a dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026, rather than a year-end closing-price forecast.
• Causation remains unverified: the price movement is observable, but the supplied reporting does not identify a new catalyst.
• Volume and liquidity are distinct: $1.5M traded does not, on its own, establish market depth or the durability of the repricing.