Hourly Briefing ·
2 stories in this edition: Colorado wins priced at 36.0% on Kalshi, up 19 points, on $988K traded · Ebola pandemic in 2026 priced at 2.5% on Polymarket, up 0.1 points, on $789K traded
No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used, web-taken or banned (the $2.7B weekly crypto volume record…
PredictionBubbles' climate board lists the Ebola pandemic contract among its most-traded climate markets, in a climate/science category distinct from the lead. It has…
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A Kalshi market on Colorado winning was priced at 36.0%, up 19 percentage points, with $988K traded, in the supplied snapshot published Oct 24, 2026 · 9:24 PM ET. The figures indicate a substantial repricing, though the accompanying material does not identify the contest or explain what prompted the move.
According to predictionbubbles.net, its movers dashboard measures changes in market-implied probabilities over 24 hours using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. The supplied page records a venue-data timestamp of 25 Oct 2026, 01:16 UTC and says updates occur every 15 minutes.
The dashboard ranks moves by their absolute size in probability points, rather than relative percentage changes. On that basis, Colorado’s reported increase is a 19-point move—not a 19% rise. Trading volume provides separate context and does not determine a market’s position in the rankings.
The supplied source excerpt explains the dashboard’s methodology but does not contain a Colorado-specific entry. It therefore does not independently establish the headline’s price, movement or volume, nor does it provide the contract’s settlement terms or deadline.
The accompanying summary reports no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. That does not establish whether there was Colorado-specific news behind the price change; the available material supports reporting the movement, not assigning it a cause.
A Polymarket contract on an Ebola pandemic in 2026 was priced at 2.5%, up 0.1 percentage points, with $789K traded, in the supplied snapshot published Oct 24, 2026 · 9:24 PM ET.
According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appears among the most-traded markets on its climate board. Its placement reflects the site’s climate/science categorization, rather than a classification of Ebola as a climate outcome.
PredictionBubbles says its climate page tracks 23 open markets, comprising 2 from Kalshi and 21 from Polymarket. The site refreshes its data every 15 minutes, while trading on the underlying venues continues between updates.
The board distinguishes trading activity from price movement. Its volume ranking measures total traded volume, while its movement ranking uses absolute probability changes over the preceding 24 hours. The Ebola contract’s $789K in trading and 0.1-point increase therefore describe different aspects of market activity.
According to PredictionBubbles, the board’s most-traded contract at its last refresh was “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?” on Polymarket, with $18.7M traded. The Ebola contract’s inclusion among active markets does not make it the board’s volume leader.
The supplied material does not include the Ebola contract’s detailed wording, settlement criteria or price history. PredictionBubbles describes itself as an information service displaying venue prices, not an operator that accepts wagers, holds funds or offers accounts.