Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 13, 2026 · 6:24 AM ET

East of Eden stands at 98% in Polymarket’s market on the No. 2 U.S. Netflix show this week, with All American next at 5%, as of Oct 13, 2026, at 6:24 AM ET. The pricing puts East of Eden well ahead of its nearest named rival.

Strong viewing momentum after launch

According to Polymarket, the Florence Pugh-led limited series has performed strongly on Netflix’s U.S. charts since releasing all seven episodes on October 1. Adapted by Zoe Kazan from the Steinbeck novel, it received generally favorable reviews, including an 87% score on Rotten Tomatoes.

Polymarket reports that East of Eden quickly reached the top two, supported by strong early viewership and continued audience engagement. That chart performance underpins the market’s confidence in the series.

Competition remains the key variable

Polymarket attributes traders’ expectations to the production’s prestige appeal, Florence Pugh’s profile and its all-at-once release. Its commentary suggests that this combination typically supports viewing momentum for two to three weeks.

According to Polymarket, a significant challenge would most plausibly come from a major release, such as a prominent returning season or an original that rapidly finds an audience, before the weekly chart is finalized. Its current tracking identifies little immediate competition capable of overtaking East of Eden.

What it means for prediction markets

• The contract concerns No. 2, not No. 1. Strong viewership supports the outlook, but the precise weekly ranking is what matters.
• The quoted prices show a clear favorite. East of Eden’s 98% compares with All American’s 5%; these are market-implied figures, not confirmed chart outcomes.
• Late competitive shifts remain relevant. A sudden surge by another release could alter the ranking before the weekly chart is finalized.

Outcome contracts draw fresh attention

Hyperliquid is moving into outcome contracts, according to bitrss.com. The development puts its expansion at the center of the latest competitive signal for prediction-market readers.

Bernstein, meanwhile, is adding prediction markets to its core coverage. That is a separate development from Hyperliquid’s product push: one concerns market participation, the other the scope of financial research.

Together, the developments point to attention from both a prospective competitor in outcome contracts and a research provider. They do not, on their own, establish any change in trading activity or market share.

The supplied source page was unavailable, and the brief summary provides no details about contract specifications, availability or Bernstein’s coverage scope. Those limits leave the practical impact of both developments unresolved.

What it means for prediction markets

• Competition: Hyperliquid’s move is relevant to the competitive landscape, but the available material does not establish the scale or timing of its outcome-contract offering.
• Research coverage: Bernstein’s decision makes prediction markets part of its core coverage; it is not evidence by itself of increased participation or liquidity.
• Evidence to watch: Product details and the scope of Bernstein’s research would help distinguish these developments’ potential significance from their demonstrated impact.

Kalshi posted consecutive daily volume records over the weekend, reaching $3.91B on Saturday and then $3.96B on Sunday, according to a Bitcoin.com report carried by coinspectator.com.

Parlay-style combos accounted for about 70% of volume on both days. That made combos the dominant component of activity as the platform twice exceeded $3.9B in a single day.

Combos dominate the record totals

Sunday’s record followed immediately after Saturday’s, with combos retaining roughly the same share of the larger total. The weekend’s headline growth therefore came alongside a consistently heavy concentration in that format.

The available summary does not provide a fuller breakdown of the remaining volume or explain how combo activity was measured. With the source page unavailable, the figures establish the scale and composition of the reported records, but not the number of traders or individual positions behind them.

What it means for prediction markets

• Volume composition matters: About 70% of each record day came from parlay-style combos, rather than activity being evenly distributed across formats.
• The records were consecutive: Kalshi moved from $3.91B on Saturday to $3.96B on Sunday, setting a new daily high on both days.
• Participation remains unclear: The supplied figures do not establish whether the volume reflected broader trader participation or more activity from existing users.