Polymarket: East of Eden at 98% for #2 U.S. Netflix show

East of Eden stands at 98% in Polymarket’s market on the No. 2 U.S. Netflix show this week, with All American next at 5%, as of Oct 13, 2026, at 6:24 AM ET. The pricing puts East of Eden well ahead of its nearest named rival.

Strong viewing momentum after launch

According to Polymarket, the Florence Pugh-led limited series has performed strongly on Netflix’s U.S. charts since releasing all seven episodes on October 1. Adapted by Zoe Kazan from the Steinbeck novel, it received generally favorable reviews, including an 87% score on Rotten Tomatoes.

Polymarket reports that East of Eden quickly reached the top two, supported by strong early viewership and continued audience engagement. That chart performance underpins the market’s confidence in the series.

Competition remains the key variable

Polymarket attributes traders’ expectations to the production’s prestige appeal, Florence Pugh’s profile and its all-at-once release. Its commentary suggests that this combination typically supports viewing momentum for two to three weeks.

According to Polymarket, a significant challenge would most plausibly come from a major release, such as a prominent returning season or an original that rapidly finds an audience, before the weekly chart is finalized. Its current tracking identifies little immediate competition capable of overtaking East of Eden.

What it means for prediction markets

• The contract concerns No. 2, not No. 1. Strong viewership supports the outlook, but the precise weekly ranking is what matters.
• The quoted prices show a clear favorite. East of Eden’s 98% compares with All American’s 5%; these are market-implied figures, not confirmed chart outcomes.
• Late competitive shifts remain relevant. A sudden surge by another release could alter the ranking before the weekly chart is finalized.