Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026 priced at 0.1% on Polymarket, on $2.2M traded
PredictionBubbles' culture board ranks the box-office contract among its most-traded culture markets — a contract not featured in any earlier edition, in a culture…
A Polymarket contract on whether Wicked: For Good will be the top-grossing movie of 2026 was priced at 0.1%, with $2.2M traded, in the Oct 17, 2026 · 2:39 AM ET snapshot. According to PredictionBubbles, the box-office question ranks among the most-traded contracts on its culture board.
The accompanying summary says the contract had not appeared in any earlier edition. That establishes its arrival in the coverage, not when trading began or whether its probability recently changed.
Trading volume is not a price move
PredictionBubbles distinguishes its ranking by total traded volume from its ranking by absolute probability movement over the last 24 hours. The $2.2M figure therefore indicates accumulated trading activity; it does not establish that the Wicked: For Good contract was among the biggest recent movers.
The 0.1% price represents the market-implied probability of the film finishing as 2026’s top-grossing movie. The supplied material does not give the contract’s 24-hour change, price history or detailed resolution rules.
A broader culture-market snapshot
According to PredictionBubbles, the culture board tracks 47 open markets: 11 from Kalshi and 36 from Polymarket. Its data refreshes every 15 minutes, while trading on the underlying venues continues between updates.
The board’s largest culture market by traded volume at its last refresh was the Polymarket question on whether Jesus Christ will return before 2027, with $66.5M traded. PredictionBubbles displays venue prices rather than accepting wagers, holding funds or offering accounts.
What it means for prediction markets
- Activity and conviction are different measures. The Wicked: For Good contract combines $2.2M in traded volume with a 0.1% implied probability; volume alone does not show support for the affirmative outcome.
- A new appearance is not evidence of momentum. Without a previous price or 24-hour change, the supplied snapshot cannot establish the direction of trading sentiment.
- Timing and contract terms matter. The board updates every 15 minutes, and PredictionBubbles notes that related questions across venues can differ in wording and resolution rules.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/culture/
Date & time:
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