Trump departure wagers rank second as daily trading reaches $1.4 million
DeFi Rate ranks the 48-outcome Trump administration departures market second on its top 50 board and calls it the biggest non-sports market trading now. Susie Wiles is listed as the leading outcome.
A prediction market tracking who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026 recorded 1.4 million dollars in trading over 24 hours, according to DeFi Rate. The outlet ranks it second on its top 50 board.
Departures market draws non-sports activity
DeFi Rate describes the contract as the biggest non-sports market currently trading. The ranking and volume figures were reported on Nov 6, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET.
The market has 48 outcomes, with Susie Wiles listed as the leading outcome, according to DeFi Rate. The supplied summary does not give her price or implied probability, or identify the other outcomes.
That distinction limits what the figures establish: the report documents substantial trading activity and Wiles’ position within the market, but provides no evidence that a departure has been announced.
What it means for prediction markets
- Activity is not probability: The 1.4 million dollars traded over 24 hours measures turnover, not the likelihood of any particular administration departure.
- The leader lacks a quoted price: Wiles’ leading position cannot be translated into a numerical probability from the information provided.
- Contract terms remain unspecified: The summary does not explain what qualifies as leaving a role or how the 48 outcomes would be resolved.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
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