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Tyler Cameron leads Kalshi's Dancing with the Stars Episode 6 elimination market at 48% on over $5M traded

Kalshi prices Cameron at 48%, ahead of Jackson Olson at 29% and Tatyana Ali at 15%, while Covers puts Cameron at 50c on a market it says has drawn over $5M — an…

Tyler Cameron has the highest quoted probability of elimination in Kalshi’s market for Episode 6 of Dancing with the Stars Season 35. According to Kalshi News, traders put Cameron, who dances with professional partner Sharna Burgess, at 48%.

Savannah Bananas player Jackson Olson follows at 29%, with actress Tatyana Ali at 15%, according to the outlet. Cameron’s price makes him the leading elimination candidate, but leaves his implied probability below even odds.

Two reported prices for Cameron

Covers reports Cameron at 50c and says the market has recorded over $5M in trading. That quote differs from the 48% figure in Kalshi News, which describes its probability as a market-close reading. The supplied reporting does not establish whether the two figures reflect comparable observation times.

According to Kalshi News, Episode 6 airs October 14, 2026, on ABC. While the outlet’s headline refers to Week 5, its market details explicitly identify the elimination contract as covering Episode 6.

Frech leads the season-winner market

The separate market for the Season 35 champion has Ezra Frech and partner Daniella Karagach in front at 56%, according to Kalshi News. Maura Higgins is priced at 13%, followed by Harry Shum Jr. at 12%.

Those prices concern the season’s eventual winner rather than the next elimination. They therefore represent a different forecast from the Episode 6 market led by Cameron.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A lead is not a majority probability: Cameron’s 48% quote ranks him first for elimination without making that outcome more likely than not.
  • Keep the reported snapshots separate: Kalshi News’s 48% and Covers’ 50c should not be treated as evidence of a price move without matching timestamps.
  • Volume does not settle the forecast: Covers’ reported over $5M in trading measures activity, not certainty about who will leave.
  • Contract scope matters: The Episode 6 elimination market and Season 35 winner market address distinct outcomes.
PredictionMarketsKalshi

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]News (news.kalshi.com)https://news.kalshi.com/p/dancing-with-the-stars-elimination-odds-tyler-cameron-leads-at-49

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