Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026 priced at 22.0% on Polymarket

Polymarket priced a meeting between Trump and Kim Jong Un in 2026 at 22.0%, down 3.0 probability points, in the supplied market update published Oct 25, 2026, at 11:24 AM ET. Reported trading volume was $280K.

The decline represents a lower market-implied likelihood of a meeting, not confirmation of a change in diplomatic plans. The supplied material identifies no announcement or reporting that explains the move.

Reading the repricing

According to predictionbubbles.net, its movers board compares prices over 24 hours and ranks changes by their absolute size in probability points, rather than relative percentages. Trading volume provides context but does not affect that ranking.

The outlet draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi and refreshes its data every 15 minutes. Its supplied page carries a venue-data timestamp of 25 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC, later than the headline update. The excerpt does not include a Trump–Kim market entry, so it does not independently establish a later price for this contract.

What it means for prediction markets

• The signal is a downward repricing: the reported 3.0-point decline leaves the meeting priced at 22.0%, but does not establish why traders changed their assessment.
• Volume is not liquidity: the $280K traded figure supplies activity context; the material does not provide order-book depth or clarify the volume period for this contract.
• Timing and settlement details remain important: the supplied excerpt neither verifies a subsequent price nor provides the contract’s rules for what would qualify as a meeting.