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Troy Jackson's Maine Senate odds climb to 68% on Kalshi

PredictionBubbles, reading Kalshi prices on October 31, prices Troy Jackson at 68 percent to win the Maine Senate race, up 5 points in 24 hours. The market has traded 5.4 million dollars over its life, with 237,000 dollars traded in the last day and 1.8 million dollars in open interest.

Jackson’s market probability reaches 68 percent

Troy Jackson’s implied probability of winning the Maine Senate race reached 68 percent on Kalshi on October 31, according to PredictionBubbles. That was an increase of 5 percentage points over 24 hours.

The update, published Oct 31, 2026 at 6:15 AM ET, reflects prediction-market pricing rather than a reported election result.

Trading volume and outstanding positions

According to PredictionBubbles, the market recorded 237,000 dollars in trading over the last day. Lifetime trading volume stood at 5.4 million dollars.

Open interest was 1.8 million dollars. That measure tracks outstanding positions, distinct from the volume of contracts traded during a given period.

The supplied report does not identify a catalyst for Jackson’s price increase or provide prices for other candidates. It therefore establishes the size of the move, but not what drove it.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price movement: Jackson’s implied win probability rose 5 percentage points to 68 percent in 24 hours.
  • Market activity: The 237,000 dollars traded over the last day adds a recent activity measure alongside 5.4 million dollars in lifetime volume.
  • Interpretation limits: The 1.8 million dollars in open interest provides context on outstanding positions, but the reported figures alone do not explain the repricing or establish its durability.
KalshiSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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