Top-grossing movie of 2026 priced as a long-shot board: Scream 7 and Wuthering Heights at 0.1% each

Two films priced far from the top

Polymarket contracts on Scream 7 and Wuthering Heights each show a 0.1% market-implied probability of finishing as the top-grossing movie of 2026, according to predictionbubbles.net. The identical readings place both films at long-shot prices for the annual box-office crown.

Those prices concern a specific outcome: leading the year in ticket revenue. They do not, by themselves, establish whether either film will be commercially successful, and the supplied listings contain no box-office receipts or production budgets.

What the snapshot shows—and leaves out

PredictionBubbles aggregates prices from Kalshi and Polymarket across 2146 open markets, with updates every 15 minutes, according to its website. Both film contracts appear in its entertainment and culture listings and are identified as Polymarket markets.

The supplied snapshot does not include either contract’s traded volume, liquidity or 24-hour price change. It therefore offers no basis for determining whether the 0.1% readings followed a recent repricing or how much trading supports them. Nor does it identify the leading contender for the 2026 box-office title or provide the film contracts’ settlement criteria.

What it means for prediction markets

• Equal prices, limited conclusions: Both films carry the same displayed probability, but the listings do not establish equal trading activity or market depth.
• A price is not a verdict: The 0.1% readings reflect market pricing rather than a guarantee that either film cannot finish first.
• Settlement details remain important: Without the underlying rules, the snapshot does not establish which box-office measure or reporting cutoff determines the winner.