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Kalshi’s November inflation threshold contract drops to 25 cents

PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi leaderboard snapshot at 1:51 PM EST on Nov. 4, read this run across 327 priced contracts in 20 series, ranks the CPI above 3.9% contract…

A Kalshi contract tied to CPI inflation exceeding 3.9% for the year ending November 2026 fell 12c to 25c, according to PredictionMarketPicks. It ranked as the largest economics mover on the board.

Leaderboard snapshot

PredictionMarketPicks’ snapshot was taken at 1:51 PM EST on Nov. 4, 2026. The leaderboard covered 327 priced contracts across 20 series.

The item was published on Nov. 4, 2026, at 1:54 PM ET. The supplied summary identifies the contract’s ranking but does not provide the broader leaderboard or source links.

A lower price for the inflation outcome

The decline marks a lower market price for the outcome that CPI inflation exceeds 3.9% over the specified period. That threshold concerns the year ending November 2026, rather than an unspecified measure of annual inflation.

The available material does not identify a catalyst, trading volume or the interval over which the 12c decline occurred. It therefore establishes the price move and ranking, but not what drove the repricing.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction: The move to 25c reflects a lower price for the above-3.9% outcome, not confirmation of the eventual CPI reading.
  • Scope: The top-mover designation applies to economics contracts on the cited board; the snapshot covered 327 priced contracts in 20 series overall.
  • Limits: Without volume, a comparison interval or a stated catalyst, the snapshot alone cannot establish how durable the move may be.
PredictionMarketsKalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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