Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Kalshi’s November inflation threshold loses ground but remains at 81c

PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi leaderboard snapshot at 5:46 PM EST on Nov. 4, read this run across 332 priced contracts in 19 series, lists the above-3.6% November strike…

A Kalshi contract tied to CPI inflation exceeding 3.6% for the year ending November 2026 fell 5c to 81c, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

Snapshot shows a lower price

PredictionMarketPicks’ leaderboard snapshot was taken at 5:46 PM EST on Nov. 4. It covered 332 priced contracts across 19 series and included the above-3.6% November strike.

The accompanying item was published on Nov. 4, 2026, at 5:54 PM ET. The reported decline left the contract priced well above the midpoint, despite the move lower.

The supplied excerpt does not identify a catalyst, trading volume or the period over which the 5c decline occurred. It therefore provides a price observation rather than enough evidence to explain the shift in expectations.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction and level differ: The 5c fall marks a lower price for the above-3.6% outcome, while the remaining 81c price still favors that outcome.
  • The threshold matters: This contract concerns CPI inflation above 3.6% for the year ending November 2026—not a broader judgment about inflation.
  • Context is limited: The leaderboard’s coverage of 332 contracts across 19 series does not establish this contract’s liquidity or whether related inflation markets moved similarly.
PredictionMarketsKalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related