Texas Senate: James Talarico at 65c on Polymarket and 64c on Kalshi, Ken Paxton at 37c on both

James Talarico leads Ken Paxton in pricing on both Polymarket and Kalshi for the Texas Senate race, according to the supplied summary of Action Network’s reporting. Talarico is quoted at 65c on Polymarket and 64c on Kalshi.

Paxton is priced at 37c on each platform. The figures accompanying the Oct 16, 2026 · 2:24 AM ET publication put the same candidate ahead across both venues, with little difference in their quoted prices.

Voting dates approach

The contest is for a Senate seat being vacated. Early voting begins Oct. 19, ahead of the Nov. 3 election, placing the reported market snapshot shortly before voting opens.

The supplied source extract contains no usable article body beyond site material. The available information therefore establishes the quoted prices and election timetable, but provides no polling figures or explanation for Talarico’s market lead.

What it means for prediction markets

• Both venues favor Talarico: Polymarket and Kalshi show the same ordering, with Talarico at 65c and 64c, respectively, and Paxton at 37c on both.
• The calendar is the next reference point: Oct. 19 marks the start of early voting; Nov. 3 is Election Day.
• The snapshot has limits: Without earlier prices or supporting polling in the supplied material, it does not establish whether either candidate has gained momentum.