Barrios leads Yarbrough in Texas 32nd district prediction market snapshot
The Texas 32nd district market prices Dan Barrios at 62.8 percent against Jace Yarbrough at 46 percent on Polyguana, with the race among the biggest 24-hour House movers.
Dan Barrios was priced at 62.8 percent against Jace Yarbrough at 46 percent in the Texas 32nd district House market, according to Polyguana.
The snapshot was published Nov 3, 2026 · 10:45 PM ET. It places Barrios above Yarbrough in the reported pricing, but does not establish an election result.
A large mover with limited detail
According to Polyguana, the race was among the biggest 24-hour House market movers. The supplied summary does not specify the size or direction of either candidate’s price change.
It also provides no trading volume, liquidity information or contract terms. Those omissions limit what can be concluded about the activity behind the reported prices.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 62.8 percent and 46 percent figures together exceed 100 percent. Without contract details, they should not be treated as a normalized, two-candidate probability split.
- The race’s position among the biggest 24-hour House movers highlights price activity, but the summary does not show whether that movement favored Barrios or Yarbrough.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Polyguana
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
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