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Sports prediction markets trade $583M in the last 24 hours, down 29%, with Kalshi at $216M

No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used today, taken by website-only batches, or on the banned list…

Sports trading volume retreats

Sports prediction markets recorded $583M in trading over the last 24 hours, down 29%, with Kalshi accounting for $216M, according to the supplied market snapshot published Oct 26, 2026, at 10:24 PM ET.

The accompanying news-search summary identified no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. The material does not establish a cause for the decline in trading volume.

Live prices reflect games in progress

According to defirate.com, live NBA markets priced MIL at 99% to win while leading IND 108–101, and OKC at 99% while ahead of PHX 125–114. HOU carried an 84% win probability with a 95–90 lead over ATL, while MEM was priced at 71% with a 58–52 advantage over UTA.

The NFL snapshot showed DAL at a 77% win probability despite trailing PHI 21–20, according to defirate.com. Its UFC listing for Sat, Oct. 31 placed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at 73% against Farman Hasanov at Fight Night.

Completed NBA games on the same page included WAS 103–CHA 110, MIN 125–CLE 127 and CHI 99–BOS 134. DAL finished ahead of MIA, 113–109. The page covers scores and market prices across NBA, NFL, MLB, UFC and NHL, alongside championship favorites and heavily traded markets.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The $583M total and 29% decline describe trading activity, not a change in any team’s implied probability.
  • Kalshi’s $216M provides a platform-level figure, but the supplied material does not break out the remaining volume by venue.
  • Live probabilities are snapshots rather than final outcomes. The DAL–PHI listing illustrates that the team leading on the scoreboard need not be the market favorite.
  • No significant new platform headline was identified in the preceding 30 minutes, leaving the volume decline without an established news catalyst in the supplied material.
PredictionMarketsKalshiPolymarketCFTC

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Defirate (defirate.com)https://defirate.com/odds/sports/

Date & time:

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