Grizzlies vs. Jazz priced at 65.0% on Polymarket, up 17.5 points, on $3.8M traded

The Grizzlies-Jazz contract on Polymarket was listed at a 65.0% market-implied probability, up 17.5 percentage points over 24 hours, with $3.8M traded in the supplied snapshot published Oct 26, 2026, at 10:24 PM ET. PredictionBubbles lists the matchup on its sports board, although the provided page text does not reproduce the contract’s individual data row.

Reading the price

According to PredictionBubbles, its displayed probability refers to a contract’s first outcome. The supplied material does not identify that outcome for Grizzlies-Jazz, so the 65.0% reading cannot confidently be assigned to either team. It also provides no matchup-specific reporting explaining the move.

The board distinguishes price movement from trading activity: its movers are ranked by absolute probability changes over the previous 24 hours, while its volume rankings use total traded volume. The $3.8M figure therefore should not be read as money traded during the same period as the 17.5-point increase.

The broader sports board

According to PredictionBubbles, the sports page tracks 567 open markets across Kalshi and Polymarket: 213 from Kalshi and 354 from Polymarket. Its embedded display shows the 300 largest by volume. The site refreshes its data every 15 minutes, while trading on the underlying venues continues between updates.

What it means for prediction markets

• Outcome wording matters: The contract’s first outcome needs to be identified before interpreting 65.0% as either team’s implied chance.
• Volume and movement measure different things: The $3.8M total establishes trading activity, but does not explain the 17.5-percentage-point repricing.
• The snapshot is not a continuous quote: PredictionBubbles’ 15-minute refresh cycle means displayed probabilities can differ from subsequent exchange prices.
• Cross-venue comparisons require care: According to PredictionBubbles, related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket can have different wording and resolution rules.