Seahawks priced at 60c to beat the Broncos on Thursday Night Football on Kalshi, with Denver at 41c

Seattle is favored over Denver in Kalshi’s Thursday Night Football markets, with Seahawks winner contracts priced at 60¢ and Broncos contracts at 41¢ in Sports Illustrated’s Week 6 coverage. The matchup opens the NFL’s Week 6 schedule on Oct. 15, 2026, at 8:15 p.m. ET.

The spread market also leans toward Seattle: Seahawks -2.5 contracts are listed at 55¢, according to Sports Illustrated. That contract concerns Seattle’s winning margin, rather than simply whether the team wins.

A dated snapshot ahead of kickoff

Sports Illustrated says it checked NFL contract prices against official Kalshi market pages on Oct. 13, 2026. The figures therefore represent a pregame snapshot, not verified live prices on Thursday; both pricing and market availability can change before kickoff.

Seattle’s advantage is smaller than those of two other Week 6 favorites highlighted by the outlet. Kansas City winner contracts are listed at 79¢ and San Francisco at 78¢. Jacksonville is priced at 57¢ against Houston, while Green Bay stands at 54¢ against Dallas in Sunday Night Football. The Texans-Jaguars Over 42.5 contract is listed at 51¢.

Player markets offer a separate view

For Seahawks-Broncos, Sports Illustrated reports an anytime-touchdown Yes price of around 47¢ for Jaxon Smith-Njigba and 36¢ for J.K. Dobbins. Barner and Nix are listed at approximately 20¢ and 18¢, respectively. Those touchdown prices were also checked on Oct. 13, 2026.

First-touchdown contracts put Emanuel Wilson at 15¢, Smith-Njigba at 14¢ and Dobbins at 12¢. Kalshi also offers contracts on 2+ touchdowns and, for some players, 3+ touchdowns, giving participants distinct outcomes to trade beyond the game result.

What it means for prediction markets

• Seattle leads, but is not an overwhelming favorite. A 60¢ contract roughly corresponds to a 60% market-implied probability, rather than a forecast of certainty.
• Winning and covering are different outcomes. Seattle’s 60¢ winner price and 55¢ price at -2.5 reflect separate settlement conditions.
• Timing matters. The reported prices were checked on Oct. 13, 2026; they should not be treated as live quotes for Oct. 15.
• Prices are not payouts. Winning contracts settle at $1 and losing contracts at $0. Applicable fees affect net returns, and positions may be sold before settlement while trading remains available.