San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship priced at 15.0% on Kalshi, down 1.0 points, on $12.1M traded
PredictionBubbles' sports board, on its Oct. 28, 23:12 UTC crawl at 552 open markets with $794.4M traded, lists the San Francisco championship contract among its…
San Francisco’s contract to win the 2027 Pro Football Championship was priced at a 15.0% implied probability on Kalshi, down 1.0 percentage point over 24 hours, according to PredictionBubbles’ reported market snapshot. Total traded volume stood at $12.1M.
A lower price in a heavily traded contract
The price reflects traders’ assessment of San Francisco’s championship prospects, rather than a probability set by a bookmaker. The supplied material does not identify a specific development behind the decline.
The figures accompanied an Oct. 28, 2026 update published at 7:24 PM ET. The summary cites a PredictionBubbles crawl at 23:12 UTC that covered 552 open sports markets with $794.4M traded.
Board totals reflect different snapshots
The supplied PredictionBubbles page separately lists 569 open sports markets: 204 on Kalshi and 365 on Polymarket. That differs from the crawl cited in the summary, so the two totals should not be treated as one synchronized snapshot. PredictionBubbles says it refreshes its aggregated data every 15 minutes, while trading on the underlying exchanges continues between updates.
The board distinguishes trading activity from price movement: its volume rankings use total traded volume, while its movers rankings use absolute probability changes over the preceding 24 hours. San Francisco’s $12.1M figure therefore measures cumulative trading, not the amount traded during the latest decline.
What it means for prediction markets
- The move is in percentage points: The reported decline is 1.0 percentage point, leaving San Francisco at a 15.0% market-implied championship probability.
- Volume does not explain direction: The $12.1M total indicates trading activity but does not establish what caused the repricing.
- Timing matters: A 15-minute aggregation cycle means displayed prices may differ from current exchange prices.
- Cross-venue comparisons require care: PredictionBubbles notes that related Kalshi and Polymarket contracts can have different wording and resolution rules.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
Date & time:
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