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San Francisco tops Kalshi football odds as Chicago reaches third

Sports Illustrated's Kalshi market tracker, updated November 3, says Chicago moved into third place after its Monday Night Football win over Seattle, with 219 million dollars traded in the NFL Champion market; the same tracker puts NBA Champion market volume at 58 million dollars.

San Francisco 49ers lead Kalshi’s 2027 NFL Champion market at 15 percent, followed by Buffalo at 13 percent and Chicago at 11 percent, according to Sports Illustrated’s market tracker.

Chicago moves up after Seattle win

The tracker, updated November 3, places Chicago third after its Monday Night Football victory over Seattle. The supplied summary does not specify Chicago’s position or probability before that game.

The reported standings leave San Francisco two percentage points ahead of Buffalo and four ahead of Chicago. Buffalo’s advantage over Chicago is also two percentage points.

Football trading outpaces basketball

Sports Illustrated’s tracker lists 219 million dollars traded in the NFL Champion market. It puts NBA Champion market volume at 58 million dollars.

Those figures show substantially more trading in the football championship market than in its basketball counterpart. The supplied material does not provide a breakdown of trading volume by team.

What it means for prediction markets

  • San Francisco holds the highest reported probability, but its 15 percent reading is well below a majority likelihood.
  • Chicago’s move into third followed a win over Seattle; without a pregame reading, the size of its probability change cannot be measured.
  • The 219 million dollars in NFL Champion trading exceeds the NBA Champion market’s 58 million dollars, but those totals alone do not establish liquidity for individual team contracts.
  • The probabilities come from a November 3 tracker update, rather than a live snapshot at the November 4, 2026, 2:00 PM ET publication time.
KalshiNFLInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    Sports Illustrated
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