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Spurs lead 2027 championship pricing as Wembanyama tops MVP market

DeFi Rate put San Antonio ahead of Oklahoma City at 16 percent in the 2027 NBA champion market on October 31, with both venues pricing the Spurs at 22 cents. Wembanyama led the MVP market at 32 percent.

San Antonio stood atop the 2027 NBA champion market on October 31, according to DeFi Rate. The Spurs carried a 22 percent implied probability on both Kalshi and Polymarket US.

Championship markets put San Antonio first

Both venues priced San Antonio at 22 cents, according to DeFi Rate. That placed the Spurs ahead of Oklahoma City, which was at 16 percent.

The reported probabilities put six percentage points between the two teams. San Antonio’s lead made it the favorite, but its 22 percent probability remained well below an even chance of winning the championship.

Wembanyama leads the MVP field

Victor Wembanyama also held the favorite’s position in the MVP market, at 32 percent, according to DeFi Rate. The summary did not provide probabilities for other MVP contenders.

The report was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 6:00 PM ET. Its championship and MVP figures represent a snapshot of market expectations rather than settled outcomes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Agreement across venues: Kalshi and Polymarket US both priced the Spurs at 22 cents in the 2027 NBA champion market.
  • A measurable championship lead: San Antonio’s 22 percent probability exceeded Oklahoma City’s 16 percent by six percentage points.
  • Favorites are not majority outcomes: Neither the Spurs’ championship probability nor Wembanyama’s 32 percent MVP probability reached 50 percent.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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