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Below 190 Republican House seats loses ground in midterm market

The below 190 outcome in the Republican House seats market is priced at 37 percent, down four points in the last 24 hours on the WinDailySports live board.

The outcome for Republicans to hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterms is priced at 37 percent, according to WinDailySports.

That price fell four percentage points over the last 24 hours on the WinDailySports live board. The update was published Nov 1, 2026 · 1:30 AM ET.

A shift in one seat-count outcome

The move reflects a lower market price for the below 190 outcome. The supplied summary does not identify what drove the change.

It also provides no prices for other seat-count outcomes. That limits conclusions about how the broader market distribution shifted or which alternatives gained ground.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The reported 37 percent price applies specifically to the below 190 Republican House seats outcome, not to a separate question about control of the chamber.
  • The four-percentage-point decline measures movement over the last 24 hours; the summary offers no longer-term trend.
  • Without prices for competing outcomes, the update alone does not establish the market’s most likely Republican seat count.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    WinDailySports
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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