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Kalshi pricing rises for Q4 2026 GDP growth above 3.5 percent

The Kalshi economics contract on real GDP growth above 3.5 percent in Q4 2026 is priced at 28 cents, up nine cents in 24 hours.

Kalshi’s contract on real GDP growth above 3.5 percent in Q4 2026 reached 28 cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The price was up nine cents over 24 hours.

A higher price for the growth threshold

The update, published Nov 1, 2026 at 1:45 AM ET, describes a repricing toward the above-threshold outcome. It does not establish that real GDP growth will exceed 3.5 percent.

The threshold matters: the contract concerns growth above 3.5 percent, rather than growth at or above that level.

Limited context for the move

The supplied summary provides no explanation for the price change. It also includes no trading-volume, liquidity or settlement details, limiting what can be concluded about the move beyond its reported size and direction.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price movement: The reported nine-cent increase over 24 hours brought the contract to 28 cents.
  • Outcome precision: The relevant event is real GDP growth above 3.5 percent in Q4 2026—not simply positive growth.
  • Interpretation limits: Without further market or settlement information, the price change alone cannot establish the strength of the underlying economic evidence.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionMarketPicks
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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