Quentin Halys wins priced at 56.0% on Kalshi, up 8.0 points, on $1.8M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Halys win contract among its new-market sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero hits in…
The Kalshi contract for a Quentin Halys win was priced at 56.0%, up 8.0 probability points, with $1.8M traded, in the supplied update published Oct 26, 2026 · 1:54 PM ET. The figures show a shift toward a Halys victory, although the provided material does not identify the event or opponent.
According to the supplied summary of PredictionBubbles’ movers board, the contract appeared among new-market sports moves, in a sports category separate from the lead listing. The source extract does not include the individual Halys market card, limiting verification of the contract’s details.
How the board measures movement
According to PredictionBubbles, its movers rankings measure changes in market-implied probability over 24 hours, using probability points rather than relative percentage changes. Prices come from Polymarket and Kalshi, with the page rebuilt every 15 minutes. The supplied snapshot records venue data read on 26 Oct 2026, 17:47 UTC.
PredictionBubbles says its main ranking covers 1,992 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. It also requires open markets to have a valid 24-hour comparison. Those rules describe the broader board; the extract does not establish how they apply to the Halys contract’s new-market placement.
What the figures do—and do not—show
The 8.0-point increase describes a change in pricing, not an independently verified improvement in Halys’ prospects. No match news, player update or other catalyst for the move is identified in the supplied reporting.
The $1.8M trading figure adds activity context, but the material does not specify its measurement period for this contract or provide order-book depth. PredictionBubbles distinguishes trading activity from price movement and says volume does not determine its movers rankings.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction: The 56.0% price puts a Halys win above even odds in market-implied terms, following an 8.0-point rise.
- Activity versus liquidity: $1.8M traded does not, by itself, establish how much liquidity is available at the current price.
- Verification gap: The event, opponent, settlement terms and reason for the repricing are absent from the supplied material.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026 priced at 7.6% on Polymarket, on $1.1M traded
- Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election priced at 83.0% on Polymarket, up 21.5 points, on $431K traded
- Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup priced at 3.5% on Polymarket, down 3.2 points, on $252K traded
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup priced at 13.0% on Polymarket, down 5.5 points, on $408K traded
- Prediction markets trade $119.0B in contracts over the last 30 days, with Kalshi handling 76%, DeFi Rate reports
- OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026 priced at 6.0% on Polymarket, down 8.5 points, on $380K traded